Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.092506 0.108097 0.125469 0.146257 0.170456 0.197737 0.230834
2026-02-01 0.068910 0.088296 0.111912 0.142785 0.182084 0.230453 0.294546
2026-02-08 0.053867 0.074886 0.102590 0.141752 0.195692 0.267409 0.370115
2026-02-15 0.042569 0.063723 0.093670 0.139107 0.206315 0.302123 0.449287
2026-02-22 0.035475 0.056814 0.089052 0.141226 0.223570 0.348631 0.553347
2026-03-01 0.029462 0.050213 0.083498 0.140661 0.236418 0.390556 0.658034
2026-03-08 0.024046 0.043420 0.076274 0.135891 0.241428 0.420694 0.749041
2026-03-15 0.020437 0.038941 0.071983 0.135089 0.252675 0.462616 0.866877
2026-03-22 0.018278 0.036619 0.070985 0.139825 0.274365 0.525976 1.033551
2026-03-29 0.016534 0.034726 0.070394 0.145117 0.297851 0.596195 1.224903
2026-04-05 0.014902 0.032731 0.069221 0.148982 0.319078 0.665287 1.425597
2026-04-12 0.013352 0.030605 0.067389 0.151110 0.336999 0.730438 1.629009
2026-04-19 0.011360 0.027249 0.062630 0.146694 0.341513 0.771321 1.794645
2026-04-26 0.009565 0.023988 0.057498 0.140537 0.341214 0.802254 1.945440
2026-05-03 0.008280 0.021679 0.054116 0.137835 0.348510 0.851828 2.149733
2026-05-10 0.007142 0.019498 0.050629 0.134208 0.352945 0.895697 2.349426
2026-05-17 0.006422 0.018251 0.049218 0.135567 0.370214 0.973965 2.650945
2026-05-24 0.005694 0.016826 0.047076 0.134585 0.381235 1.038620 2.930126
2026-05-31 0.004915 0.015090 0.043763 0.129747 0.380890 1.073639 3.136624
2026-06-07 0.004387 0.013973 0.041951 0.128807 0.391353 1.139883 3.443931
2026-06-14 0.004096 0.013516 0.041951 0.133209 0.418297 1.257258 3.922849
2026-06-21 0.003847 0.013138 0.042118 0.138175 0.448000 1.388200 4.468709
2026-06-28 0.003583 0.012655 0.041869 0.141806 0.474352 1.514196 5.024840